Looks like each local and state government will have a hand in determining between better economic in the next weeks or less exposure and less deaths in the next 8 weeks https://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2020/05/05/coronavirus-latest-new-university-of-penn-model-predicts-350000-deaths-by-end-of-june-if-all-states-fully-reopen/
Here is the model https://budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2020/5/1/coronavirus-reopening-simulator